Prediction Tokens

Prediction Tokens let holders stake on the outcome of Vault-related questions — which vault unlocks next, whether a mythic door gets discovered this month, which squad wins a raid — and earn based on how the market resolves.

How Prediction Markets Work

1. Stake on an outcome. Each active market lists possible outcomes with a payout multiplier and the current vote share for each — stake prediction tokens on the one you think is right.
2. Markets resolve. Once the real outcome is known, the market closes as Resolved and winning stakes pay out according to their multiplier.
3. Guess next month’s drop. Separately, the community votes on themed guesses for next month’s drop; the top-voted theme becomes the mock front-runner, competing for free allocation, not a staked market.

Which markets are currently open, pool sizes, vote shares, and the top-predictor leaderboard change continuously; see the live Prediction Tokens for the current state. This page covers the mechanism, not a point-in-time snapshot of it.

More Vault Pages

• Vault Overview — what a “vault unlocking” (the subject of most prediction markets) actually means
• Community Raids — another squad-vs-market mechanic prediction questions sometimes reference